Conditional household scenarios, income comparisons and 2029 / 2031 / 2036 outlooks.
Build bigger reserves; commit more revenue to savings.
Lower eligible farm costs; reduce local tax revenue.
Larger exemptions; tighter local revenue and spending rules.
Supported −2 to +2 scenario ranges, positive and negative paths, fiscal charts and distributional analysis.
Missing evidence stays Unrated. These ranges describe conditional scenarios; they are not a measured average or a voting recommendation.